Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 11 November 2021
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Thu Nov 11 16:47:41 CAT 2021
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Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 11 November 2021
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ZSE commentary
The ZSE rose convincingly in today's session supported by select heavyweight
gains. Activity levels remained below average at 410 trades. First Capital
Bank was the most active stock at 42 trades followed by Cassava at 32 trades
while Innscor and Delta were at 28 trades each. Investor sentiment was mixed
but skewed to the positive after the session yielded 20 risers against 10
fallers while three of the active stocks remained unchanged. First Capital
Bank anchored volume aggregate trading 10 836 800 shares and Delta anchored
value aggregate with a value of ZW$144.26 million contributing 37.82% to
total turnover.
The All-Share Index added 1.45% to 12 451.76 points. The Top 10 Index added
2.57%. The Top 15 Index also added 2.39%. The Medium Cap Index was down by
1.58% to 21 662.66 points whilst the Small Cap Index added 0.51% to 384
669.56 points. Leading the risers pack of the day was Medtech Holdings
adding 18.23% and Art Corporation up by 13.83%. Delta gained 7.90% after it
released strong half year results yesterday and Edgars gained 7.60% to 538c.
CBZ Holdings was up by 5.11%. Mitigating the gains were losses in TSL and
Turnall which shaded 20.00% and 15.43% respectively. NMB Bank was down by
12.42% to 1226.09c. Rio Zimbabwe and Ariston Holdings pared 7.68% and 4.85%
respectively. The Old Mutual Top Ten ETF closed at 475.24c up by 0.57% after
210 554 units were traded worth ZW$1 000 642.50 in 20 trades..-wealthaccess
Global Currencies & Equity Markets
South Africa
Dollar rockets to 16-month highs after hot U.S. inflation; euro sinks
(Reuters) - The dollar rose to 16-month highs against the euro and other
currencies on Thursday, and the yen fell back towards multi-year lows, after
the hottest U.S. inflation reading in a generation encouraged bets on
interest rate hikes.
U.S. consumer prices grew last month at their fastest annual pace since
1990, data showed, and traders think the Federal Reserve could respond by
lifting interest rates faster than in Europe or Japan. read more
The euro dropped as the European Central Bank is seen lagging on policy
tightening. It slipped to $1.1454 on Thursday, its lowest since July 2020.
Sterling was also down at a new 11-month low of $1.3365. Data showing
Britain's economy lagging rivals in the July-September period did little to
help. read more
The yen extended a sharp reversal of recent gains to fall to 114.15 per
dollar - close to the Japanese currency's four-year low of 114.69 reached
last month. The Australian and New Zealand dollars recorded one-month
troughs.
Against a basket of currencies, the dollar rose to as high as 95.101, its
strongest since July 2020.
U.S. government bond yields have risen sharply, including the 30-year
Treasury yield passing 1.5% .
After the surge in Treasury yields, which rise when bond prices fall, the
difference between five-year U.S. yields and yields at the same tenor in
Japan and Germany is wider - in favour of Treasuries - than at any time
since early 2020.
Emerging market (EM) currencies have also suffered from the dollar's broad
rise, with MSCI's EM currencies index (.MIEM00000CUS) suffering its sharpest
drop in two months.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars slipped, pulled lower by the jump in
the U.S. dollar. The Aussie fell half a percent to a one-month low of
$0.7287 and the Kiwi dropped 0.6% to $0.7013.
Elsewhere, Turkey's lira tumbled to a new record low of 9.97 to the dollar
after the U.S. inflation reading and as expectations grow Turkey will cut
rates again soon.
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Nigeria
Speculators lose billions as naira appreciates, exchanges for 540/$
The naira has appreciated further in the parallel market as the dollar was
sold for N540 on Wednesday, with traders saying speculators hoarding dollars
would be losing a lot of money.
The dollar, which was bought and sold for N578 and N580 as of the end of
September, was bought and sold for N540 and N543 at the parallel market on
Wednesday.
Several Bureau de Change operators who spoke to our correspondent said the
demand for foreign exchange was not high.
At the Investor & Exporter forex window, the naira appreciated by 0.8 per
cent to close at N414.73 on Wednesday, although it fell to a low of N444
during the day.
The Central Bank of Nigeria, however, maintained the official rate at
N411.37 on its website.
As part of efforts to tame the free fall of the naira in recent months, the
CBN stopped the sales of forex to the BDCs.
The CBN said the BDCs had turned themselves into "agents that facilitate
graft and corrupt activities of people who seek illicit fund flow and money
laundering in Nigeria".
It also clamped down on abokiFX after accusing the website and its owner of
manipulating the currency to sabotage the economy.
At the last Monetary Policy Committee meeting in Abuja, the committee urged
the CBN to take further steps to restrict the activities of unauthorised and
illegal dealers in the forex market.
It said all forex transactions must be conducted at the I&E window to ensure
transparency and stability.
The committee called on the CBN to intensify surveillance over forex sales
and utilisation by commercial banks and customers, to ensure that operators
adhere to stipulated guidelines set by the CBN.
The apex bank maintained its resolve to continue to restructure the forex
market and pursue all the policies targeted at sanitising the market to
improve transparency and proper functioning to eliminate illegal forex
dealers in the economy.
Copyright PUNCH.
<mailto:info at bulls.co.zw>
Global Markets
Dollar rockets to 16-month highs after hot U.S. inflation; euro sinks
(Reuters) - The dollar rose to 16-month highs against the euro and other
currencies on Thursday, and the yen fell back towards multi-year lows, after
the hottest U.S. inflation reading in a generation encouraged bets on
interest rate hikes.
U.S. consumer prices grew last month at their fastest annual pace since
1990, data showed, and traders think the Federal Reserve could respond by
lifting interest rates faster than in Europe or Japan. read more
The euro dropped as the European Central Bank is seen lagging on policy
tightening. It slipped to $1.1454 on Thursday, its lowest since July 2020.
Sterling was also down at a new 11-month low of $1.3365. Data showing
Britain's economy lagging rivals in the July-September period did little to
help. read more
The yen extended a sharp reversal of recent gains to fall to 114.15 per
dollar - close to the Japanese currency's four-year low of 114.69 reached
last month. The Australian and New Zealand dollars recorded one-month
troughs.
Against a basket of currencies, the dollar rose to as high as 95.101, its
strongest since July 2020.
U.S. government bond yields have risen sharply, including the 30-year
Treasury yield passing 1.5% .
After the surge in Treasury yields, which rise when bond prices fall, the
difference between five-year U.S. yields and yields at the same tenor in
Japan and Germany is wider - in favour of Treasuries - than at any time
since early 2020.
Emerging market (EM) currencies have also suffered from the dollar's broad
rise, with MSCI's EM currencies index (.MIEM00000CUS) suffering its sharpest
drop in two months.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars slipped, pulled lower by the jump in
the U.S. dollar. The Aussie fell half a percent to a one-month low of
$0.7287 and the Kiwi dropped 0.6% to $0.7013.
Elsewhere, Turkey's lira tumbled to a new record low of 9.97 to the dollar
after the U.S. inflation reading and as expectations grow Turkey will cut
rates again soon.
The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
<mailto:info at bulls.co.zw>
Commodities Markets
Gold Is Back in Vogue With Bulls Loving Faster Inflation Again
For much of this year, rising inflation has been bad news for gold. Now it's
giving the metal a shot in the arm.
While bullion is often bought as a way to protect wealth when consumer
prices are climbing, this year's inflation had weighed on the metal as
investors bet that it would spur the Federal Reserve to scale back huge
stimulus measures. But with the Fed determined to keep rates low while
unemployment remains elevated, worries about out-of-control inflation are
boosting gold's allure.
Copper edges higher despite warning signs from China
China's metals-intensive construction sector, meanwhile, is engulfed in a
debt crisis, with property developer China Evergrande Group facing a bond
repayment deadline on Wednesday.
LONDON: Copper prices edged higher on Wednesday as signs of tight supply
offset concerns that economic growth is slowing in China, the world's
biggest metals consumer.
Data showed that Chinese factory gate prices rose last month at the fastest
pace in 26 years, reducing the chances of an interest rate cut to stimulate
the economy.
China's metals-intensive construction sector, meanwhile, is engulfed in a
debt crisis, with property developer China Evergrande Group facing a bond
repayment deadline on Wednesday.
But copper inventories -- at least those in warehouses that publish data --
are so low that traders are paying large premiums to get their hands on
metal.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was up 0.1% at $9,565 a
tonne in official trading.
Prices are up by about 23% this year after rising 26% in 2020, but they have
lost momentum since reaching a record high of $10,747.50 in May.
Slowing growth in China and elsewhere is holding copper down but prices will
rise over the longer term as the world transitions to cleaner energy and
needs more copper to conduct electricity, said WisdomTree analyst Nitesh
Shah.
MARKETS: Global equities steadied below this week's record highs. Chinese
stock markets fell.
INFLATION: U.S. consumer prices increased more than expected in October.
STOCKS: On-warrant inventories in LME-registered warehouses rose to 46,150
tonnes but quickly deliverable cash metal still costs about $250 more than
the three-month contract, suggesting tight supply.
Stockpiles in China have fallen sharply.
OUTPUT: Copper production by China's major smelters in October fell by 2.2%
from September, researchers Antaike said, though it predicted higher output
in November.
STRIKE: Protesters again blocked a road used to transport metal from the Las
Bambas copper mine in Peru, a community leader said.
OTHER METALS: LME aluminium was up 0.7% at $2,573 a tonne, zinc was flat at
$3,282, nickel gained 0.5% to $19,500, lead fell 0.7% to $2,323 and tin was
down 0.3% at $37,300.
INVESTORS DIARY 2021
Company
Event
Venue
Date & Time
National Unity Day
December 22
Christmas Day
December 25
Boxing Day
December 26
Public Holiday in lieu of Boxing Day falling on a Sunday
December 27
Counters trading under cautionary
ART
Seed co Int.
Starafrica
Medtech
Turnall
Seed co
Invest Wisely!
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