Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 03 July 2023

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Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 03 July 2023

 

 


 <https://www.cloverleaf.co.zw/> 

 

 



ZSE commentary

 

Zimbabwe Stock Exchange (ZSE) 

 

The overall Market Cap for today closed at ZWL$13.76 trillion with a
percentage drop of 1.65%. Total turnover decreased by 52.75% to with a value
of ZWL 589 million, Total Volumes Traded also   decreased by 4.98% to later
close at ZWL5.62 million. Nampak Zimbabwe, Delta and BAT Zimbabwe were
today's three most traded counters, constituting 89% of the total turnover.

The benchmark All-Share Index trimmed 1.70% to close with 168,491.91 points
at the back of 17 raisers and 10 decliners. The Top 15 Index decreased by
2.19% to close at 116,222.08 points and the Top 10 Index also dropped by
2.78% to 90,448.05 points. 

 

Leading the raiser's list for the day was First M. Limited and General
Beltings Holdings after advancing by 15.00% and 14.91% each to close at
$162.55 and $9.25, respectively. Ariston and Truworths followed after each
added 14.67% and 14.29% to close at a price of $34.00 and $11.60,
respectively. Rainbow Tourism Group capped the winner's top 5 list for the
day after gaining 11.42% to close at $94.54. 

 

On the laggards' list, CBZ Holdings and Unifreight Africa lost 15.00% and
14.03% to close at $1,796.80 and $204.60, respectively. Meikles Limited and
Tanganda Tea Co. Ltd pulled back by 9.93% and 4.24% to close at $1,170.97
and $1,358.35, respectively. Delta capped the list after dropping by 1.56%
to close at $3,052.08. 

 

Victoria Falls Stock Exchange (VFEX) 

 

The VFEX Market Cap closed at US$ 1.42 million, with a percentage increase
of 220.19%..-Akribos Securities

 

 

 

 <mailto:info at bulls.co.zw> 

 

 

Global Currencies & Equity Markets

 

South Africa

 

South African rand strengthens against the dollar

(Reuters) - The South African rand strengthened on Monday, recovering some
losses incurred last week along with other emerging market currencies.

 

At 1523 GMT, the rand traded at 18.7350 against the dollar , 0.48% higher
than its closing level on Friday.

 

The dollar last traded at 102.98, around 0.03% stronger against a basket of
global currencies.

 

The rand seemed unperturbed by a local survey on Monday, which showed South
African manufacturing activity contracted for the fifth consecutive month in
June due to a worsening of business conditions.

 

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However, analysts warned that the risk-sensitive rand was susceptible to
further weakness in the near-term amid hawkish tones by central banks around
the world including the Federal Reserve.

 

"The minutes of the last FOMC meeting are due out on Wednesday, and will
allow markets to more deeply scrutinise the reasoning of US monetary policy
makers, and attempt to glean insight on the likely length of the pause in
the cycle," said Investec analyst Annabel Bishop in a research note.

 

Shares on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange rose slightly, with both the
broader all-share index (.JALSH) and the Top-40 index (.JTOPI) closing
around 0.3% higher.

 

South Africa's benchmark 2030 government bond was slightly stronger, with
the yield down 1 basis point to 10.500%.

 

 

 

Nigeria

 

South African rand strengthens against the dollar

(Reuters) - The South African rand strengthened on Monday, recovering some
losses incurred last week along with other emerging market currencies.

 

At 1523 GMT, the rand traded at 18.7350 against the dollar , 0.48% higher
than its closing level on Friday.

 

The dollar last traded at 102.98, around 0.03% stronger against a basket of
global currencies.

 

The rand seemed unperturbed by a local survey on Monday, which showed South
African manufacturing activity contracted for the fifth consecutive month in
June due to a worsening of business conditions.

 

However, analysts warned that the risk-sensitive rand was susceptible to
further weakness in the near-term amid hawkish tones by central banks around
the world including the Federal Reserve.

 

"The minutes of the last FOMC meeting are due out on Wednesday, and will
allow markets to more deeply scrutinise the reasoning of US monetary policy
makers, and attempt to glean insight on the likely length of the pause in
the cycle," said Investec analyst Annabel Bishop in a research note.

 

Shares on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange rose slightly, with both the
broader all-share index (.JALSH) and the Top-40 index (.JTOPI) closing
around 0.3% higher.

 

South Africa's benchmark 2030 government bond was slightly stronger, with
the yield down 1 basis point to 10.500%.

 

 

 

 

 

 <mailto:info at bulls.co.zw> 

 

 

Global Market

 

Dollar little changed after ISM data, yen below 145 threshold

(Reuters) - The dollar was little changed on Monday against a basket of
major trading currencies and gained against a yen that's under intervention
watch after the Japanese finance minister warned last week of excessive
moves in the currency market.

 

The dollar initially weakened on news of U.S. manufacturing slumping further
in June to levels last seen when the economy was reeling from the initial
wave of the COVID-19 pandemic.

 

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its manufacturing PMI dropped
to 46.0 from 46.9 in May, the lowest reading since May 2020. It marked the
eighth straight month that the PMI has been below the 50 threshold
indicating contraction.

 

"The key on the ISM was the prices paid, which was much weaker than
expected," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global
Forex in New York. "The ISM saw the dollar pare its earlier gains," he said.

 

The ISM survey was consistent with an economy in recession as price
pressures at the factory gate continued to deflate, suggesting U.S.
inflation is coming under control.

 

But other data such as nonfarm payrolls, first-time applications for
unemployment benefits and housing starts, suggest the U.S. economy continues
to grow, a concern for those who see inflation again picking up at the end
of summer.

 

"The bottom for this inflation process is going to be put in place next
week, then we're probably going to see prices go up," said Ed Moya, senior
market analyst at OANDA in New York, referring to the release of the
consumer price index (CPI) on July 12.

 

"This market was so fixated that these pricing directions were going to be
one-way, well it's going to be in for a rude awakening."

 

The yield on interest rate-sensitive two-year Treasuries at first fell on
the news, before later heading higher, as did the dollar. The two-year hit
an almost four-month high of 4.963%.

 

The ISM survey's measure of prices paid by manufacturers fell to 41.8 in
June from 44.2 the prior month as bottlenecks in the supply chain eased and
higher borrowing costs dampened demand.

 

The dollar index , a measure of the U.S. currency against six other
currencies, rose 0.039%.

 

The yen fell to near eight-month lows against the dollar as intervention
came into sight after Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki warned on Friday
against investors selling the yen too far as it weakened past the threshold
of 145 to the dollar.

 

Japan bought yen in September, its first foray in the market to boost its
currency since 1998, after a Bank of Japan (BOJ) decision to maintain
ultra-loose policy drove the yen as low as 145 per dollar.

 

It intervened again in October after the yen plunged to a 32-year low of
151.94.

 

The Japanese yen weakened 0.25% versus the greenback to 144.68 per dollar.

 

The euro rebounded after earlier weakening on data showing a slowdown in
factory activity in China and the euro zone renewed concerns about economic
growth.

 

Fears of a slowdown in the global economy have weighed on the euro after
rising for three consecutive quarters.

 

A private sector survey on Monday showed China's factory activity growth
slowed in June, with sentiment waning and recruitment cooling as firms grew
increasingly concerned about sluggish market conditions.

 

Euro zone manufacturing activity contracted faster than initially thought in
June as persistent policy tightening by the European Central Bank squeezed
finances.

 

The euro was last up 0.01% to $1.0911.

 

China's onshore yuan was down slightly at 7.2419 after slipping to near
eight-month lows against the dollar at the end of last week.

 

Currency bid prices at 2:25 p.m. (1825 GMT)

 

 

 <mailto:info at bulls.co.zw> 

 

 

 

 

Commodities Markets

 

 

Gold inches lower, investors wait for Fed's June meeting minutes

 

Gold prices dipped slightly in early Asian trade as traders awaited the
minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve's June meeting for clues on future
interest rate hikes. The dollar index remained steady, and trading volume
was expected to be light due to a U.S. holiday. U.S. manufacturing continued
to decline in June, but price pressures at the factory gate eased as supply
chain bottlenecks improved and borrowing costs dampened demand. Investors
are anticipating a 25-basis-point rate hike in July, with rates reaching
5.25%-5.50% before potential cuts in 2024. High interest rates discourage
investment in non-yielding gold.

Gold inches lower, investors wait for Fed's June meeting minutesAgencies

Gold prices edged slightly lower in early Asian trade on Tuesday, as traders
awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's minutes of the June meeting for more
clues on its interest rate hike path ahead.

 

FUNDAMENTALS

 

* Spot gold edged 0.1% lower to $1,919.95 per ounce by 0107 GMT, while U.S.
gold futures were down similarly to $1,927.80.

 

* The dollar index held steady.

 

* Trading volume could be light due to a U.S. holiday.

 

* U.S. manufacturing slumped further in June, with ISM's manufacturing PMI
dropping to 46.0 last month, the lowest reading since May 2020, from 46.9 in
May.

 

* Yet price pressures at the factory gate continued to deflate since
bottlenecks in the supply chain have eased considerably and higher borrowing
costs dampen demand.

 

* Investors see an 87% chance of a 25-basis-point hike in July, according to
CME's Fedwatch tool, bringing rates into the 5.25%-5.50% range before cuts
are seen after March in 2024.

 

* Investors will watch for minutes of the June 13-14 FOMC meeting being
released on Wednesday.

 

* High interest rates discourage investment in non-yielding gold.

 

* Japan's top financial diplomat Masato Kanda said on Tuesday that
authorities were in close contact with U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen
and other overseas authorities, in lieu of the yen falling to a near
eight-month low against the dollar last week.

 

* Spot silver fell 0.1% to $22.86 per ounce, platinum rose 0.6% to $911.52
while palladium jumped 1.4% to $1,245.95.

 

DATA/EVENTS (GMT) 0430 Australia RBA Cash Rate July 0600 Germany Exports,
Imports MM SA May 0600 Germany Trade Balance, EUR, SA May

 

 

 


 

INVESTORS DIARY 2023

 


Company

Event

Venue

Date & Time

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 


 

Heroes' Day

 

Aug 14

 

 


 

Defence Forces Day

 

Aug 15

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 


Counters trading under cautionary

 

 

 

 


CBZH

GetBucks

EcoCash

 

 


TSL

Econet

Turnall

 

 


First Capital Bank

ZBFH

Fidelity

 

 


Zimplow

FMHL

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 


Invest Wisely!

Bulls n Bears 

 

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DISCLAIMER: This report has been prepared by Bulls 'n Bears, a division of
Faith Capital (Pvt) Ltd for general information purposes only and does not
constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy or
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been compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or
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opinions expressed and recommendations made are subject to change without
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any companies referred to in this report. Other  Indices quoted herein are
for guideline purposes only and sourced from third parties.

 

 


 

 

 


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