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</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=477 height=713 src="cid:image001.jpg@01D5DE24.9DE99EA0" align=left hspace=12 v:shapes="Picture_x0020_3"><![endif]><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>The Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) lowered its key interest rate to six percent on Friday and said it may switch to a loose monetary policy stance later this year as inflation has slowed faster than expected.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>The central bank downplayed the recent spike in market volatility related to the coronavirus outbreak, and cut the cost of borrowing for the sixth consecutive meeting.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>The quarter of a percentage point cut was in line with the consensus forecast in a Reuters news agency poll.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>However, some analysts had expected the central bank to leave rates unchanged given increased global market volatility spawned by the coronavirus, and the potential for the new government of Russia to increase spending that can fuel inflation. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>Central Bank of Russia Governor Elvira Nabiullina, presenting the rate move, signalled more interest rate cuts could be in the offing this year, with annual inflation expected to bottom out near two percent in the first quarter and start gradually returning to the four percent target by midyear. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>"If the situation develops in line with the baseline forecast, the Bank of Russia holds open the prospect of further key rate reduction at its upcoming meetings," the central bank said in a statement.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>Nabiullina downplayed concerns that the newly appointed government could increase state spending, saying "we believe that budget expenditure will be more evenly distributed this year".<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>The rouble weakened after the move to 63.91 versus one United States dollar from the 63.82 before the cut.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>Lower borrowing costs encourage consumers to spend more and businesses to boost production, both of which fuel economic growth. But lower interest rates can also make Russian investments less attractive. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>Uncharted territory ahead<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>The cut brought the key rate to the lower boundary of the six-to-seven percent range that the central bank considers neutral from a monetary policy point of view.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>Nabiullina said the central bank may revise the neutral rate in the future, but it may take more than a year as the bank does not have sufficient data for this.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>"If our estimate of inflation and the economic situation require [it], the key rate may be set beneath the lower bound of the neutral range. This will mean [a] loose monetary policy."<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>Dmitry Polevoy, chief economist at the Russian Direct Investment Fund, said Friday's communication was "a clear hint of CBR willingness to step into the uncharted sub-six percent rates territory in its search of key rate neutrality to bring inflation back to four percent under the targeted GDP [economic] growth".<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>The central bank said economic growth in Russia is on track to accelerate to a range of 1.5 percent to 2 percent in 2020 and then to 3 percent in 2022, having reached 1.3 percent in 2019.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>The next rate-setting meeting is scheduled for March 20.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>SOURCE: REUTERS NEWS AGENCY</span><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><i><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>Invest Wisely!</span></i><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><b><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>Bulls n Bears </span></b><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'> <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>Telephone: <a href="tel:%2B263%204%202927658" target="_blank"><span style='color:windowtext'>+263 4 2927658</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>Cellphone: <a href="tel:%2B263%2077%20344%201674" target="_blank"><span style='color:windowtext'>+263 77 344 1674</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-ZW'>Alt. 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