Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 07 February 2018
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Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 07 February 2018
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Zimbabwe Stock Exchange Update
Market Turnover $3,795,086.22 with foreign buys at $1,208,341.13 and foreign
sales were $538,436.71. Total trades were 85.
The All Share Index came off a further 0.29 points to settle at 90.55
points as four counters lost ground. BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO jumped down
$1.0000 to close at $27.9500, SEEDCO dropped $0.0193 to $1.9500 while
ARISTON slipped $0.0028 to trade at $0.0117. AXIA closed at $0.1800
following a $0.0004 loss.
Trading in the positive; INNSCOR put on $0.0025 to close at $0.8225 and OK
ZIMBABWE inched up by $0.0006 to end at $0.1650.
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Global Currencies & Equity Markets
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe negotiating $1.5 billion guarantee with Afreximbank - c.bank
governor
(Reuters) - Zimbabwe is negotiating a $1.5 billion guarantee with
Afreximbank to ensure foreign investors funds are protected, central bank
Governor John Mangudya said on Wednesday.
Mangudya added that Zimbabwe, where new President Emmerson Mnangagwa is
trying to woo foreign investors, was also arranging a $400 million facility
to ensure payments for critical imports and allow investors to repatriate
funds.
Uganda
Ugandan shilling stable, could weaken from energy demand
(Reuters) - The Ugandan shilling was stable on Wednesday and was
forecast to ease due to dollar demand from energy and manufacturing
companies.
At 1122 GMT, commercial banks quoted the shilling at 3,630/3,640 to the
dollar, the same level as Tuesday's close.
America
Dollar slips against yen as investors remain cautious
(Reuters) - The dollar lost half a percent against the yen on Wednesday,
handing back earlier gains, as investors remained cautious after a heavy
selloff in stock markets, and with many viewing the Japanese currency as
undervalued.
A sharp decline in global share markets in recent days has had only a muted
effect on the currency market, with traditional safe havens such as the yen
and Swiss franc seeing only modest gains this week.
While most analysts believe this weeks heavy selloff across stock markets
has run its course for the moment, allowing volatility to abate a little,
the prospect of monetary tightening across the globe remains a challenge for
the long term, and pushed up the yen against the U.S. currency.
The dollar traded as low as 108.92 yen, erasing all of the previous days
gains.
The greenback had reached a high of 109.720 yen earlier in the day as
regional equities such as Japans Nikkei soared, taking their cue from a
late rebound on Wall Street.
But it drifted lower as the Nikkei, which rose as much as 3.4 percent, gave
back most of its gains on anxiety over more weakness in U.S. share markets.
U.S. stock futures fell during Asian trade, stoking such fears.
The focus remains on U.S. stocks, which looked set to open a little lower
again, and which have been the source of the latest turbulence in global
markets and currencies.
The surge in long-term U.S. bond yields to four-year highs helped trigger
the slide in the equity market, and while yields have pulled back from those
peaks, they still remain elevated.
The dollar was flat against a basket of six major currencies at 89.61, after
reaching a two-week peak of 90.034 overnight.
The Australian dollar, which tends to suffer during risk aversion, was 0.3
percent lower at $0.7879.
The Swiss franc, a perceived safe haven along with the yen, was flat at
0.9357 francs per dollar, and up only a third of a percent for the week.
Commodities Markets
Copper prices slip as options expiry looms
(Reuters) - Copper eased on Wednesday as a looming options expiry sparked
some losses, although a recovery in stock markets after their recent steep
slide supported the broader base metals complex.
Traders of LME calls and puts, the right to buy or sell a contract at a
fixed price later, have to decide whether to exercise their options on the
first Wednesday of each month.
Their ability to make a profit on those positions depends on the price of
the underlying asset, meaning trading tends to be volatile around options
expiry.
The recovery in stock markets on Wednesday should be broadly supportive of
metals, he added, though lead is falling as some holders cashed in gains
after the metal rallied to a 6-1/2 year high late last week.
* LME COPPER: Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.4
percent at $7,050.50 a tonne at 1025 GMT. It fell 1.3 percent on Tuesday.
* FINANCIAL MARKETS: World stocks clawed their way back from two-month lows
on Wednesday, though momentum was weak and U.S. futures suggested Wall
Street could lapse back into losses after rebounding from the biggest
selloff in six years.
* ALUMINIUM: LME aluminium was up 0.5 percent at $2,180.50 a tonne. It
earlier matched the previous sessions three-week low of $2,170 a tonne.
* ALUMINIUM SPREAD: The premium for cash aluminium over three-month
aluminium CMAL0-3 rose to $2.75 a tonne, its highest since August, from a
discount of $12.50 a tonne at the start of the year. Tightness was seen in
the spread between the February and March contracts, traders said.
* SHANGHAI ALUMINIUM: Shanghais most traded aluminium contract ended down
0.5 percent at 14,205 yuan a tonne for its lowest close since January 2017.
The metal is now down 6.9 percent year-to-date, putting smelter margins
under pressure, as Chinese inventories continue to hit record highs.
* LEAD PRICES: LME lead bucked the broader trend across the base metals to
fall for a third day, and was down 1.2 percent at $2,590 a tonne. It hit its
highest since July 2011 last week at $2,885 a tonne.
* LEAD STOCKS: Stocks of lead held in LME-registered warehouses fell another
1,375 tonnes to their lowest since late 2015, exchange data showed.
* OTHER METALS: LME zinc was up 0.2 percent at $3,464 a tonne, while nickel
was 0.6 percent higher at $13,470 a tonne and tin was up 0.5 percent at
$21,835.
Gold up off 3-week lows as investors hold cautious dollar view
(Reuters) - Gold rose on Wednesday as investors overlooked the precious
metal's failure to capitalise on this week's global stock market rout and
held onto the view that the dollar's bear run remains in place despite rate
hike expectations.
The dollar rose slightly against a currency basket but fell half a
percent to the yen as investors remained cautious after a heavy
selloff in stock markets, with many
viewing safe havens like the yen as undervalued.
A weaker dollar makes dollar-priced gold cheaper for non-U.S. investors.
Spot gold was up 0.2 percent at $1,328.13 per ounce, as of 1105 GMT.
Prices fell over 1 percent to hit their lowest since Jan. 11 at $1,319.96 on
Tuesday.
U.S. gold futures for April delivery rose 0.1 percent to $1,330.70
per ounce.
World stocks clawed their way back from two-month lows on Wednesday, though
momentum was weak and U.S. futures suggested Wall Street could lapse back
into losses after rebounding from the biggest selloff in six years.
Traders dialled back bets the U.S. central bank would ratchet up the pace of
rate increases on Monday to between two and three hikes from three to four
hikes last week, according to
interest rates futures.
SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund,
said its holdings fell 1.4 percent to 829.27 tonnes on Tuesday from Monday.
Holdings saw their worst one-day fall since December 2016. Spot gold may
test a support at $1,316 per ounce, as suggested by a retracement analysis
and a head-and-shoulders,
according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
Spot silver climbed 0.3 percent to $16.68 per ounce.
Platinum fell 0.6 percent to $983.50 per ounce after touching its
lowest since Dec. 12 earlier.
Palladium edged down 1.1 percent to $997.75 per ounce, having touched
its lowest since Dec. 8.
INVESTORS DIARY 2018
Company
Event
Venue
Date & Time
Robert Mugabe National Youth Day
21 Feb 2018
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