Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 14 March 2018
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Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 14 March 2018
<mailto:info at bulls.co.zw>
Zimbabwe Stock Exchange Update
Market Turnover $1,135,794.54 with foreign buys at $370,218.19 and foreign
sales were $467,724.38. Total trades were 68.
The All Share index retreated 0.28 points to close at 86.22 points. SIMBISA
shed $0.0590 to trade at $0.3300, BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO was down by
$0.0243 to $19.9757 while DELTA lost $0.0023 to end at $1.5602. HIPPO
inched down by $0.0002 to close at $1.6798.
However, PPC put on $0.0276 to close at $0.9494, MEIKLES added $0.0173 to
$0.2973 whilst OLD MUTUAL was $0.0061 stronger at $5.4261. BINDURA gained
$0.0025 to settle at $0.0300 and DAIRIBOARD was $0.0010 firmer at $0.1130.
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Global Currencies & Equity Markets
Kenya
Kenyan shilling steady, forecast to gain due to remittances
(Reuters) - Kenya's shilling was stable against the dollar on Wednesday and
traders said it was expected to gain ground in the coming days, helped by
remittances.
At 0924 GMT, commercial banks quoted the shilling at 101.25/35 to the
dollar, the same as Tuesday's close.
Uganda
Ugandan shilling weakens as demand from energy, manufacturing weighs
(Reuters) - The Ugandan shilling weakened on Wednesday, undermined by a pick
up in dollar demand from the manufacturing and energy sectors.
At 0957 GMT commercial banks quoted the shilling at 3,655/3,665, weaker than
Tuesdays close of 3,645/3,655.
America
Dollar Pushes Higher but Soft Inflation, Tillerson Firing Weigh
Investing.com - The dollar pushed higher against the other major currencies
on Wednesday, but gains were checked by tepid inflation data and concerns
over political instability in the wake of the sudden firing of U.S.
Secretary of State Rex Tillerson.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenbacks strength against a
basket of six major currencies, edged up to 89.77 by 04:40 AM ET (08:40 AM
GMT).
The index ended the previous session lower after the Labor Department
reported Tuesday that U.S. consumer price inflation remained muted in
February, indicating that the Federal Reserve is likely to stick to a
gradual pace of rate hikes this year.
The inflation data came after last week jobs report showed tepid wage
growth, easing concerns over a faster than expected pickup in inflation.
Some investors had speculated a strong inflation reading could prompt the
Fed to increase its planned pace of interest rate increases above the three
projected at the banks December meeting.
The Fed is to hold a two-day policy meeting starting next Tuesday and is
widely expected to hike rates for the first time this year.
The dollar came under additional selling pressure after U.S. President
Donald Trump fired Secretary of State Rex Tillerson on Twitter on Tuesday,
replacing him with Central Intelligence Agency Director Mike Pompeo.
The news undermined investor confidence in the U.S. currency.
The dollar gained ground against the euro, with EUR/USD sliding 0.10% to
1.2378.
The dollar was fractionally higher against the yen, with USD/JPY edging up
to 106.66.
The yen had come under pressure since the start of the week amid a growing
cronyism scandal linked to the Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and his
wife involving the sale of public land.
The scandal raised concerns over Abes ability to continue pursuing his
Abenomics policies, which include aggressive monetary easing.
The pound was a touch lower, with GBP/USD dipping 0.09% to 1.3950.
Commodities Markets
Mounting LME inventories undermine zinc prices
(Reuters) - Zinc prices slipped on Wednesday as inventories in London Metal
Exchange-approved warehouses climbed, but support came from expectations of
stronger demand in top consumer China.
Benchmark zinc on the London Metal Exchange did not trade in official rings
but was bid down 0.3 percent at $3,277 a tonne. Prices of the metal used to
galvanise steel are down more than 8 percent since hitting $3,595.50 on Feb.
15, their highest level since July 2007.
STOCKS: Stocks of zinc in LME warehouses have jumped nearly 60 percent since
March 3 to 207,775 tonnes. Cancelled warrants - material earmarked for
delivery and so not available to the market - account for about 8 percent of
stocks, down from nearly 50 percent at the start of March. MZNSTX-TOTAL
CHINA: The country accounts for about half of global zinc demand, estimated
at 14.4 million tonnes.
SPREAD: Greater availability of zinc on the LME market has seen the premium
for the cash contract over the three-month forward - above $55 a tonne at
the end of January - slide into a discount around $3.5 a tonne. MZN0-3
MINERS: Higher zinc prices have helped miners profit margins, and this
should work as an incentive to miners to speed up their pipeline of projects
or restart idled operations, GFMS analysts said in a note.
CONCENTRATE: Traders are watching treatment charges for zinc concentrate.
Sliding treatment charges suggest less availability of concentrate, while a
rising number would mean surpluses.
NICKEL: The stainless steel ingredient was bid 0.7 percent higher at $13,970
a tonne in official rings. It earlier hit a two-week high at $14,030.
NICKEL STOCKS: Concern about shortages on the LME market have been fanned by
a 10 percent fall in stocks since Jan. 10 to 325,434 tonnes and cancelled
warrants rising to 39 percent from 30 percent. MNISTX-TOTAL
OVERALL: Strong industrial output data from China, suggesting the economy
may be picking up momentum, helped boost prices of industrial metals.
PRICES: Copper traded up 1.5 percent at $7,050 a tonne, aluminium was bid
0.6 percent higher at $2,115, lead traded up 2.4 percent at $2,447 and tin
traded 0.3 percent lower at $21,100.
Gold edges lower on political drama and firm dollar
(Reuters) - Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday, pressured by a recovering
dollar but supported by safe-haven buying after the sudden dismissal of U.S.
Secretary of State Rex Tillerson.
The U.S. dollar inched higher against major currencies after slipping
following the dismissal of Tillerson.
A stronger dollar makes commodities priced in the greenback more expensive
for holders of other currencies.
Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,323.31 an ounce at 1301 GMT. It
earlier touched $1,330.02, its highest since March 7.
U.S. gold futures for April delivery were 0.2 percent lower at
$1,324.20 an ounce.
Technical Fibonacci support for gold was at $1,317.20 an ounce with
resistance at $1,336.30, said analysts at ScotiaMocatta in a note.
Gold is seen as a safe haven during times of political and financial
uncertainty and benefited on Tuesday when President Donald Trump fired
Tillerson after a series of public rifts over
policy, replacing him with loyalist CIA Director Mike Pompeo.
Investors have switched to become more risk averse following the unexpected
news of Tillerson's dismissal and the appointment of Pompeo, said OCBC
analyst Barnabas Gan.
Meanwhile, data on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer prices cooled in February
amid a decline in gasoline prices and a moderation in the cost of rental
accommodation, the latest
indication that an anticipated pick-up in inflation probably will be
gradual.
Inflation is a key economic factor the U.S. central bank considers when
deciding monetary policy. A strong U.S. inflation reading could raise
expectations for future interest rate
increases, which would put pressure on non-yielding bullion.
In other precious metals, silver rose 0.1 percent to $16.55 an ounce.
Platinum was up 0.7 percent at $968.30 an ounce after touching a
one-week high and palladium moved 1.1 percent higher to $1,001.60 an
ounce having reached a near two-week high earlier in the session.
INVESTORS DIARY 2018
Company
Event
Venue
Date & Time
CBZ
finals and analysts briefing
Stewart Rooms, Meikles
15/03/2018 3pm
Econet
3 2017 dividend of 0.9379c per share record date
16/03/2018
NicozDiamond
finals and analysts briefing
7th Floor Auditorium, Insurance Centre, 30 Samora Machel Avenue
20/03/2018 12pm
Old Mutual Zim
analysts briefing
Stewart Room, Meikles
20/03/2018 2pm
Simbisa
EGM
Royal Harare Golf Club
21/03/2018 9am
Zimplow
final dividend 0.13c per share record
23/03/2018
TSL
AGM
28 Simon Mazorodze Road, Southerton
27/03/2018 12pm
Willdale
AGM
19.5km peg, Lomagundi Road, Mount Hampden
29/03/2018 11am
Good Friday
30/03/2018
Easter Monday
02/04/2018
Zimbabwe
Independence Day
Zimbabwe
18/04/2018
Workers Day
01/05/2018
Africa Day
25/05/2018
Zimbabwe
Heroes Day
Zimbabwe
13/08/2018
Zimbabwe
Defence Forces Day
Zimbabwe
14/08/2018
DISCLAIMER: This report has been prepared by Bulls n Bears, a division of
Faith Capital (Pvt) Ltd for general information purposes only and does not
constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy or
subscribe for any securities. The information contained in this report has
been compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or
warranty is made or guarantee given as to its accuracy or completeness. All
opinions expressed and recommendations made are subject to change without
notice. Securities or financial instruments mentioned herein may not be
suitable for all investors. Securities of emerging and mid-size growth
companies typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than
the securities of more established companies. Neither Faith Capital nor any
other member of Bulls n Bears nor any other person, accepts any liability
whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this report or its
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report shall be solely responsible for making their own independent
investigation into the business, financial condition and future prospects of
any companies referred to in this report. Other Indices quoted herein are
for guideline purposes only and sourced from third parties.
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