Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 15 July 2019
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Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 15 July 2019
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Zimbabwe Stock Exchange Update
Market Turnover ZWL$ 4,107,207.94 with foreign buys at ZWL$ 1,847,675.00 and
foreign sales were NIL Total trades were 70.
The All Share index ended the day on a higher note gaining 1.38 points to
close at 191.36 points. PPC added $0.3357 to end at $2.1957, OLD MUTUAL
LIMITED recovered by $0.2435 to end at $15.7259 and ECONET WIRELESS ZIMBABWE
LIMITED was $0.0793 stronger at $1.6988. SIMBISA BRANDS LIMITED traded
$0.0475 firmer at $1.0975 and ZIMRE HODLINGS LIMITED gained $0.0072 to end
at $0.0432.
Trading in the negative; MEIKLES LIMITED shed $0.0500 to $1.1000, SEEDCO
dropped by $0.0494 to $1.5500 and BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO ZIMBABWE was
$0.0391 weaker at $39.5000. SEEDCO INTERNATIONAL lost $0.0002 ending at
$2.1000.
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Global Currencies & Equity Markets
South Africa
South Africa's rand, stocks boosted by global risk-on sentiment
South Africas rand firmed on Monday as bets the Federal Reserve will cut
interest rates next week continued to boost the currency in the absence of
any local economic drivers, on a day dominated by ex-president Jacob Zumas
testimony at a graft inquiry.
At 1700 GMT the rand was 0.45% firmer at 13.8975 per dollar from a Friday
close of 13.9600.
Investors expect the Fed to reduce its key rate by 25 basis points and make
another cut in September. Lower yields in the United States boosts demand
for riskier high yielding assets like the rand.
Stronger-than-expected economic data from China also spurred risk bets. The
worlds no.2 economy reported industrial output rebounded in June from a
17-year low in May, while June retail sales surged 9.8% from a year earlier.
The rand rallied to a five-month high of 13.8200 last week but technical
resistance near 13.80 may stall its advance.
Bonds firmed, with the yield on the benchmark 2026 government issue down 5
basis points at 8.04%. Former president Zuma struck a defiant tone at the
public inquiry into maladministration during his nine-year tenure, saying he
was the victim of a character assassination by enemies who had tried to
get rid of him for more than 20 years.
Zuma, who was pushed out by the governing African National Congress (ANC) in
February 2018 and replaced by President Cyril Ramaphosa, is seen to still to
yield power inside the party, particularly with the faction opposing
Ramaphosas reform agenda.
Zuma has consistently denied wrongdoing.
On the bourse, stocks rose following encouraging production data out of
China on Monday boosting emerging markets.
The benchmark JSE Top-40 Index was up 0.5% to 51,447.25 points while the
broader All-Share Index crept up 0.27% to 57,432.75 points.
Tech heavyweight Naspers was among the leaders on the blue-chip index,
jumping 2.43% to 3,488.61 rand after strong gains by internet company
Tencent Holdings where it holds a 31 percent stake.
Among the losers pharmaceuticals company Aspen tumbled 3.77% and luxury
goods firm Richemont dipped 1.49%.
Uganda
Uganda shilling unchanged as tax payments trims demand
(Reuters) - The Ugandan shilling was unchanged on Monday amid subdued
activity on the demand side as most firms were reserving their local
currency holdings to meet mid-month tax obligations, traders said.
At 0900 GMT commercial banks quoted the shilling at 3,690/3,700, same level
as Friday's close.
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China
China data steadies stocks as U.S. earnings get underway
(Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks rose modestly on Monday after economic
data from China came in as expected, but equities on Wall Street slipped on
weakness in financials in the wake of Citigroups earnings report.
Chinas second-quarter annual GDP growth rate fell to a 27-year low of 6.2%,
as expected, while June reports on industrial production, retail sales and
urban investment were above forecasts.
On Wall Street, major indexes were near flat, with the S&P kept in check
after its first close above the 3,000 mark by a 0.5% decline in financial
stocks following Citigroup earnings. The banks shares were last off 0.06%
after losing as much as 2.4%.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 26.86 points, or 0.1%, to 27,358.89,
the S&P 500 gained 0.52 point, or 0.02%, to 3,014.29 and the Nasdaq
Composite added 14.04 points, or 0.17%, to 8,258.19.
Equities have rallied since a sell-off in May as investors have grown more
confident the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut its key interest rate by at
least a quarter point late this month. Improving economic data, however,
could complicate the Feds ability to lower rates.
Corporate earnings are also moving into focus with a slew of banks scheduled
to follow Citi this week, including JP Morgan , Goldman Sachs and Wells
Fargo. According to Refinitiv data, S&P 500 companies earnings are expected
to show a decline of 0.3 percent for the quarter.
Other major companies scheduled to post results this week include Netflix,
Microsoft and Honeywell .
The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.23% and MSCIs gauge of stocks
across the globe gained 0.14%.
Germanys Economy Ministry said it expected the economy to turn in a weak
second quarter and said significant risks remain, buoying expectations the
European Central Bank would take further easing measures at its meeting next
week. Germanys DAX closed up 0.52%.
Later in the week, U.S. retail sales and industrial production data will
provide clues about the health of the worlds largest economy. The Fed will
release its Beige Book on Wednesday and investors will look to it for
insight on how trade tensions are affecting the business outlook.
U.S. Treasury yields were lower with investors eyeing the retail sales data
due on Tuesday. Benchmark 10-year notes last rose 5/32 in price to yield
2.0887%, down from 2.106% late on Thursday.
Oil prices lost ground on signals the impact of Tropical Storm Barry on the
U.S. Gulf Coast would have a short-term impact on production. U.S. crude
settled down 1.05% at $59.58 per barrel and Brent was last at $66.48, down
0.36% on the day.
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Commodities Markets
China iron ore, coke rise on demand outlook; steel rebounds
(Reuters) - Chinas iron ore and coke prices rose on Monday on expectations
of an increase in demand for both steelmaking inputs, while steel futures
rebounded from three-week lows touched earlier in the session.
The most-traded September iron ore contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange
ended up 2.3% at 895 yuan ($130.22) a tonne, edging closer to its record
intraday high 911.5 yuan hit on July 3.
Tight supply conditions also supported iron ore prices, with imported stocks
at Chinas ports hovering near the lowest level since early 2017. The port
inventory fell to 115.35 million tonnes, as of July 12, from 115.6 million
tonnes a week before, data compiled by SteelHome consultancy showed.
SH-TOT-IRONINV
Demand for iron ore could pick up as steel mills stocks have dwindled, said
Darren Toh, steel and iron ore data scientist at Singapore-based Tivlon
Technologies.
This indicates that steel production in China remains brisk, despite output
curbs in some of the countrys steel hubs, amid very strong demand for the
commodity for the countrys infrastructure projects, Toh said.
Chinas daily crude steel output rose to record levels in June, according to
Reuters calculations, even as anti-pollution restrictions pushed whole-month
production slightly lower, official data showed on Monday.
Dalian coke futures climbed 2.8% to 2,167.50 yuan a tonne, after hitting
2,172.50 yuan a tonne earlier in the day, their highest in almost five
weeks.
FUNDAMENTALS
* Benchmark construction steel rebar for October delivery on the Shanghai
Futures Exchange closed nearly 1% higher at 4,030 yuan a tonne, after
dropping 1.8% in early trade.
* Hot rolled coil, the steel used in cars and home appliances, also
rebounded from earlier losses to close 1.2% higher at 3,898 yuan a tonne.
* Overall demand outlook for steel in China is clouded, however, with the
countrys economic growth slowing to 6.2% in the second quarter from a year
earlier, the weakest pace in at least 27 years and dampened by the trade war
with the United States.
* Although we believe Chinese stimulatory measures should support the
commodity imports in (the second half), further trade tensions remain a
downside risk for demand, ANZ said in a note.
* Dalian coking coal edged down 0.1% at 1,398 yuan a tonne.
* Benchmark spot 62% iron ore for delivery to China, SH-CCN-IRNOR62 rose
0.8% to $120.50 a tonne on Friday, near the five-and-a-half-year high of
$126.50 hit on July 3, according to data tracked by SteelHome consultancy.
* China will continue to enforce production restrictions in heavy industry
in winter this year and will tighten its emission assessment on steel mills
when granting exemptions from curbs already in place, an environment
ministry official said on Saturday.
* For the top stories metals and other news, click or
($1 = 6.8731 yuan)
INVESTORS DIARY 2019
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