Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 25 February 2020
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Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 25 February 2020
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Zimbabwe Stock Exchange Update
Market Turnover ZWL$20,273,259.95 with foreign buys at ZWL$7,546,235.00 and
foreign sales were ZWL$6,339,322.65 Total trades were 202
The All Share index ended the day on a lower note after dropping 1.74 points
to close at 483.58 points. DAIRIBOARD ZIMBABWE LIMITED dropped $0.1175 to
$0.8600, DELTA CORPORATION eased $0.1061 to close at $7.4033 and PADENGA
HOLDINGS was $0.0783 weaker at $6.2017. Two more counters to lose ground
were OK ZIMBABWE LIMITED which traded $0.0576 lower at $2.0305 and ECONET
WIRELESS which declined by $0.0503 ending at $2.9499.
Trading in the positive was RIO ZIM which rose by $0.6350 to $4.7000, OLD
MUTUAL LIMITED gained $0.5161 to end at $43.6217 and POWERSPEED was $0.1015
firmer at $0.6125. SIMBISA BRANDS also increased by $0.0347 to settle at
$3.6821 and SEEDCO INTERNATIONAL closed $0.0200 stronger at $4.6000.
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Global Currencies & Equity Markets
South africa
South Africa's rand weaker ahead of budget speech
(Reuters) - The South African rand weakened on Tuesday, reflecting
nervousness before a budget speech this week and global worries about the
spread of coronavirus.
The rand was down 0.3% at 15.2100 per dollar by 1630 GMT, extending losses
from Monday and mirroring falls in other emerging market currencies as the
virus outbreak gathered pace beyond China.
At home, traders were nervous that a bleak fiscal picture in Wednesdays
budget speech by Finance Minister Tito Mboweni could trigger a downgrade to
junk of South Africas credit rating by Moodys, the last agency to rate
the country investment grade.
A Reuters poll last week predicted Mboweni would present an updated budget
deficit forecast of 6.2% of gross domestic product for the current fiscal
year, up from 5.9% in October.
Local stocks failed to recover ground on Tuesday, a day after touching a
two-month low.
The Johannesburg Stock Exchanges Top-40 Index ended the day less than 0.1%
higher at 49,303 points, while the All-Share Index was down 0.1% to 54,809
points.
Bonds were little changed, with the yield on the benchmark 2026 government
issue up 0.5 basis points to 7.865%.
Uganda
Ugandan shilling weakens on uptick in demand by energy importers
(Reuters) - The Ugandan shilling weakened slightly on Tuesday, undercut by
an uptick in demand for hard currency from energy firms and other importers.
At 0942 GMT commercial banks quoted the shilling at 3,675/3,685, compared to
Mondays close of 3,665/3,675.
GLOBAL MARKETS
Stocks, oil fall further on accelerating coronavirus concerns
(Reuters) - Stocks and oil prices tumbled again on Tuesday and the benchmark
U.S. debt yield hit a record low on growing concern about the effects of the
spread of coronavirus on the global economy.
The market sell-off followed the largest losses in stocks in over two years
on Monday and accelerated after the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention said Americans should begin to prepare for community spread of
the disease.
The Japanese yen strengthened against the dollar for a third session
running, in a sign that traders are in search of relatively safer assets.
The flu-like virus has now infected more than 80,000 people, 10 times more
cases than the SARS epidemic in 2003. Several European countries were
dealing with their first infections, feeding worries about a pandemic.
The World Health Organization, however, has said the epidemic in China,
where it began in December, peaked between Jan. 23 and Feb. 2 and has been
declining since.
On Wall Street, where stocks fell the most in two years on Monday, the S&P
500 posted its largest back-to-back drop since August 2015.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 879.44 points, or 3.15%, to 27,081.36;
the S&P 500 lost 97.68 points, or 3.03%, to 3,128.21; and the Nasdaq
Composite dropped 255.67 points, or 2.77%, to 8,965.61.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index lost 1.76% and MSCIs gauge of stocks
across the globe shed 2.31%.
MSCIs broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed 0.14%
higher, while Japans Nikkei futures lost 0.34%.
BET ON RATE CUTS
The risks are such that bond markets are betting that central banks will
have to ride to the rescue with new stimulus.
Futures for the Federal Reserve funds rate have surged in the last few days
to price in a 50-50 chance of a quarter-point interest rate cut as early as
April. In all, they imply more than 50 basis points of reductions by year
end.
The indication of falling U.S. rates hit the dollar against a basket of its
peers.
The dollar index fell 0.361%, with the euro up 0.27% at $1.0881.
The yen strengthened 0.54% versus the greenback to 110.15 per dollar.
Sterling was last trading at $1.3002, up 0.58% on the day.
The rush to bonds dragged yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes to a record
low of 1.307%. The U.S. benchmark last rose 11/32 in price to yield 1.3421%,
down from 1.377% late on Monday.
The 30-year bond set a fresh record low at 1.786 and last rose 17/32 in
price to yield 1.8135%.
For the first time, the 10-year yield on Municipal Market Datas benchmark
scale for top-rated, tax-exempt municipal bonds fell under 1% to .98%.
Gold ran into profit-taking after hitting a seven-year peak overnight, and
last dropped 1.6% to $1,634.59 an ounce.
Oil prices continued to fall as demand concerns linked to the virus spread
outweighed supply cuts.
U.S. crude fell 3.11% to $49.83 per barrel and Brent was last at $54.76,
down 2.74% on the day.
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Commodities Markets
Gold retreats from multi-year peak, but virus fears remain
(Reuters) - Gold fell over 1% on Tuesday as the metals rally to 7-year
highs in the last session prompted profit-taking even as worries about the
coronavirus kept investors anxious about the fate of global economy.
Spot gold slipped about 1% to $1,644.40 per ounce by 01:56 p.m. EST (1856
GMT). U.S. gold futures settled down 1.6% at $1,650.
On Monday, the metal surged as much as 2.8% to $1,688.66, its highest since
January 2013.
Mainland China had 508 new confirmed cases, up from 409 on Feb. 23, bringing
the total confirmed cases to 77,658.
The rapid spread of the virus beyond China has heightened fears over its
impact on the global economy, driving some bets that the U.S. Federal
Reserve will be pressed to cut interest rates to cushion the hit.
Countries around the world are stepping up efforts to stop a pandemic of the
virus that emerged in China and is spreading in Europe and the Middle East.
Gold in euros and gold priced in sterling slid from all-time peaks hit on
Monday.
Among other precious metals, palladium jumped 3% to $2,707 per ounce.
Silver fell 2.3% to $18.20 an ounce, having touched its highest since early
September on Monday. Platinum slid 3.3% to $931.7.
INVESTORS DIARY 2020
Company
Event
Venue
Date & Time
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