Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 02 January 2020
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Bulls n Bears Daily Market Commentary : 02 January 2020
Zimbabwe Stock Exchange Update
Market Turnover ZWL$3,064,215.15 with foreign buys at ZWL$92,368.00 and
foreign sales were NIL Total trades were 60
The All Share index opened the year on a positive note adding a marginal
0.01 points to close at 230.09 points. SEEDCO INTERNATIONAL LIMITED gained
$0.0950 to end at $3.1000, PADENGA added $0.0825 to $2.5325 and MEIKLES
was $0.0300 stronger at $2.5400. ECONET also increased by $0.0226 to settle
at $1.4944 and INNSCOR traded $0.0207 firmer at $3.5424.
Trading in the negative; OLD MUTUAL LIMITED eased $0.4276 to $36.0727,
SEEDCO dropped $0.3025 to close at $1.600 and AXIA traded $0.0380 weaker
at $0.6020. FIRST CAPITAL LIMITED also lost $0.0102 to $0.0893 and
TRUWORTHS was $0.0038 lower at $0.0190.
Global Currencies & Equity Markets
Kenyan shilling seen rising, Zambia's kwacha under pressure
(Reuters) - Kenyas shilling is expected to strengthen in the coming week,
while the Tanzanian and Ugandan currencies are seen stable and Zambias
kwacha is likely to remain under pressure, currency traders told Reuters.
KENYA
The Kenyan shilling is forecast to be supported by inflows from diaspora
remittances and market players trimming their long dollar positions as
business resumes after the holiday season, traders said.
Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 100.85/101.05 per dollar, unchanged
from Fridays close.
UGANDA
The Ugandan shilling is seen trading stable in the next few days amid thin
demand as the pace of business slowly picks up after the Christmas and New
Year holidays.
Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 3,660/3,690, unchanged from
Tuesdays close.
He said the shilling would probably oscillate around the 3,660-3,675 level
for the next week.
TANZANIA
The Tanzanian shilling is expected to hold steady next week as most
businesses and traders return gradually from holidays.
Commercial banks quoted the local currency at 2,293/2,303, the same levels
recorded a week earlier.
He said market activity was expected to return to normal in the second week
of January.
ZAMBIA
The Zambian kwacha is likely to remain under pressure against the U.S.
dollar next week because of sustained demand for hard currency.
On Thursday, commercial banks quoted the currency at 14.1900 per dollar from
a close of 13.7390 a week ago.
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America
Stocks hit record as rally enters new year, dollar rebounds
(Reuters) - Global stock markets jumped on the first day of trading in 2020
as a shot of Chinese stimulus and economic data drove a gauge of world
equity performance to the latest in a series of record highs, while the
dollar snapped a four-day losing streak.
Wall Streets three major indexes closed at records highs on Thursday, with
the benchmark S&P 500 setting its 11th high in 14 sessions.
Gold hit a three-month peak while yields on U.S. Treasuries and Germanys
10-year bond tumbled on optimism about the world economy after positive
Chinese manufacturing data and the move to increase liquidity dulled fixed
incomes safe-haven status.
News that Chinas central bank was freeing another 800 billion yuan ($115
billion) to prop up a slowing economy added to an improving outlook for
economic growth, which has been fueled by easing U.S.-Sino trade tensions.
Chinas factory activity expanded at a slower clip in December, pulling back
from a three-year high the previous month as new orders softened. But
production continued to grow at a solid pace and business confidence shot
up.
The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index for December
eased to 51.5 from 51.8 in November, yet remained above the 50-mark that
separates expansion from contraction for the fifth straight month.
In another piece of positive data, the number of Americans filing claims for
jobless benefits edged lower last week, helping to offset recent signs in
the U.S. labor market that new claims may be trending slightly higher.
MSCIs gauge of stocks across the globe gained 4.51 points, or 0.8%, to an
all-time high, while the pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.93%.
The double dose of Chinese news helped Europes main markets in London,
Frankfurt and Paris jump 0.82% to 1.06%, outpacing overnight gains in Asia
and setting them on course for their best opening day of a year since 2013.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 330.36 points, or
1.16%, to 28,868.8. The S&P 500 gained 27.07 points, or 0.84%, to 3,257.85
and the Nasdaq Composite added 119.59 points, or 1.33%, to 9,092.19.
Emerging market stocks rose 1.20%, as the Bovespa index in Brazil advanced
2.5% to an all-time high and Mexicos bolsa index rose 2.1%.
Earlier in Asia, MSCIs broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
closed 0.94% higher.
Chinas blue-chip CSI300 index, one of the worlds best performers last
year, rose 1.4%, reaching its highest since February 2018. Hong Kongs Hang
Seng added 1.25%.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd rose 3.6% on news that Chinas Ant Financial, an
affiliate of the e-commerce giant, has joined the race for a digital banking
license in Singapore, the company said in a statement.
Gold prices were boosted by doubts about the lasting strength of Wall
Streets stock rally, said Jeffrey Christian, managing partner of CPM Group.
U.S. gold futures settled 0.3% higher at $1,528.10 an ounce. Spot gold hit a
three-month high of $1,531.20.
The dollar recovered from a six-month low after a downbeat December left an
index that tracks the greenback versus a basket of six major trading
currencies near flat at the end of 2019.
The dollar index rose 0.42%, with the euro down 0.35% to $1.1171. The
Japanese yen strengthened 0.14% versus the greenback at 108.55 per dollar.
Sterling posted its biggest daily loss in two weeks as euphoria after last
months UK election gave way to anxiety over the risk of a no-deal Brexit at
the end of 2020.
The pound last traded at $1.314, down 0.86% on the day.
Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes rose 10/32 in price to yield 1.8754%.
Germanys 10-year bond yield briefly hit -0.16% on optimism better
U.S.-China trade relations will spur global growth, denting safe-haven
assets.
The yield on the bund, a benchmark for European lending, soon slid to
-0.23%.
Oil prices steadied after early gains as signs of improving U.S.-China trade
relations eased demand concerns and rising tensions in the Middle East
provided support.
Brent crude futures settled up 25 cents at $66.25 a barrel, while U.S. West
Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 12 cents to settle at $61.18 a barrel.
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Commodities Markets
Zambia plans to compel copper miners to account for gold
(Reuters) - Zambia plans to make copper mining companies account for the
gold they produce as it seeks to boost revenue from its mineral resources, a
senior ministry of mines official said on Thursday.
Ministry of Mines Permanent Secretary Barnaby Mulenga told a news conference
that Zambia, Africas second-largest copper producer, was missing out on a
lot of revenue because only one large mine was declaring its gold output.
First Quantum Minerals Kansanshi Mine, the only mine that has been
declaring its gold production, produced 4,200 kg of gold last year.
Mining accounts for more than 70 percent of Zambias foreign exchange
earnings and other companies operating in the southern African nation
include Barrick Gold Corp, Glencore and Vedanta Resources.
Mulenga said Zambias target for gold production next year was 40,000 kg and
that would come from primary and secondary sources, including artisanal and
small-scale miners.
Mulenga said some mining companies had not been declaring any gold
production, arguing that the quantities mined were very insignificant and
therefore sold as copper.
Zambias mining investment company ZCCM-IH would invest in exploration,
mining, processing and trading in gold, its chief executive officer Mabvuto
Chipata said at the same briefing.
ZCCM-IH had undertaken initial exploration work in northwestern Zambia in
collaboration with the mines ministry and was likely to start mining in the
first quarter of next year, Chipata said.
ZCCM-IH had also started to set up centres for buying gold in strategic
areas with deposits as a first step in a bid to formalise artisanal and
small scale miners, he said.
Chipata said ZCCM-IH would provide technical expertise to artisanal miners
on mine planning and safety and give them access to earth moving machinery
and processing plants.
China's Yunnan Aluminium backs 210,000 T second phase for Heqing smelter
* Yunnan Aluminium said on Thursday its board of directors had unanimously
approved building a 210,000 tonne per year second phase at its aluminium
smelting project in Heqing county, Yunnan province, southwest China
* The company, which commissioned a first phase of the same capacity earlier
this year, said in a filing to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange it would invest
1.3 billion yuan ($185.8 million) in the project
* Yunnan Aluminium, controlled by state-owned Chinalco, currently has 2.1
million tonnes of annual aluminium production capacity, all of which uses
hydropower for the energy-intensive smelting process
* The filing did not provide a timeframe for the start of construction and
production of the second phase but projected annual net profits of 96.2
million yuan ($1 = 6.9961 Chinese yuan renminbi)
INVESTORS DIARY 2020
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